Hurricane Tracker Shows Super Typhoon Rosal Weakening East of Batanes With 195 km/h Winds
Super Typhoon Rosal (Champi) weakened to maximum sustained winds of 195 km/h while moving northwest east of Batanes, bringing heavy to intense rain to parts of Northern Luzon and triggering severe thunderstorm and flood warnings across the southwestern United States and Florida, according to the latest hurricane tracker data.
Super Typhoon Rosal Weakens East of Philippines
Super Typhoon Rosal (Champi) weakened further while moving east of Batanes before dawn on Thursday, October 22, but it remains a powerful tropical cyclone. [3] In a bulletin issued at 5 am on Thursday, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said Rosal’s maximum sustained winds slightly decreased from 205 kilometers per hour to 195 km/h. [3] Its gustiness eased from 250 km/h to 240 km/h. [3] At its peak, Rosal had maximum sustained winds of 215 km/h. [3] PAGASA’s latest forecast shows it is likely to be downgraded to a typhoon on Thursday. [3] As of 4 am, Rosal was already 495 kilometers east of Basco, Batanes, moving northwest at 20 km/h. [3] It remains unlikely to make landfall in the Philippines, but it will be closest to extreme Northern Luzon between Thursday afternoon and Friday morning, October 23. [3]
Rainfall and Wind Impacts in Northern Luzon
On Thursday, moderate to intense rain may hit at least three provinces in Northern Luzon. [3] Here is the weather bureau’s updated rainfall outlook for the next 48 hours, also released at 5 am: Thursday, October 22 Heavy to intense rain (100-200 millimeters): Batanes Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Cagayan, Apayao Friday, October 23 Heavy to intense rain (100-200 mm): Batanes Moderate to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Cagayan. [3] Aside from the provinces mentioned above, Ilocos Norte and Isabela are also likely to have rain with gusty winds from Rosal on Thursday. [3] The rest of Cagayan Valley, the rest of the Cordillera Administrative Region, Bicol, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Aurora, Northern Samar, and Eastern Samar may have scattered rain and thunderstorms as well, still due to the super typhoon. [3] PAGASA added that Rosal’s trough or extension might cause scattered rain and thunderstorms in the Zamboanga Peninsula, Western Visayas, Negros Island Region, Lanao del Norte, Misamis Occidental, and Palawan. [3] Winds from the super typhoon are already reaching portions of Northern Luzon, too. [3] Tropical cyclone wind signals are in effect in the following areas as of 5 am on Thursday: Signal No. 2 Gale-force winds (62 to 88 km/h), minor to moderate threat to life and property Batanes northeastern part of Babuyan Islands (Babuyan Island) Signal No. 1 Strong winds (39 to 61 km/h), minimal to minor threat to life and property rest of Babuyan Islands mainland Cagayan eastern part of Isabela (Maconacon, Divilacan, Palanan, Santa Maria, Cabagan, Delfin Albano, Santo Tomas, Tumauini, San Pablo, Ilagan City, San Mariano, Dinapigue) Ilocos Norte Apayao. [3] Signal No. 3 could be raised in Batanes, unless Rosal’s track shifts further north northwest. [3] The northeasterly windflow and the periphery or outer bands of the super typhoon will also bring strong to gale-force gusts to the following areas: Thursday, October 22 most of Luzon and Visayas, Zamboanga del Norte, Northern Mindanao, Agusan del Norte, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, Sarangani, Davao Occidental, Davao Oriental Friday, October 23 most of Luzon and Visayas, Davao Occidental, Davao Oriental Saturday, October 24 Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Polillo Islands, Bicol, Romblon, Capiz, Iloilo, Negros Occidental. [3]
Hazardous Sea Conditions Worsening
Conditions in affected seaboards are worsening further on Thursday. [3] Waves in Batanes could reach 12 meters or around 39 feet high. [3] Up to very rough, high, or very high seas (travel is risky for all vessels) Northern and eastern seaboards of Batanes – waves up to 12 meters high Remaining seaboards of Batanes; seaboards of Babuyan Islands; northeastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan – waves up to 9 meters high Remaining seaboards of mainland Cagayan; seaboard of northern Isabela – waves up to 7 meters high Northern seaboard of Ilocos Norte; remaining seaboard of Isabela – waves up to 6 meters high Remaining seaboard of Ilocos Norte – waves up to 5.5 meters high Seaboards of northern Ilocos Sur and northern Aurora; northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands and Catanduanes; northern seaboards of Camarines Norte and Camarines Sur – waves up to 4.5 meters high Up to rough seas (small vessels should not venture out to sea) Remaining seaboard of Aurora; eastern seaboards of Albay and Sorsogon; northern seaboard of Northern Samar – waves up to 4 meters high Remaining seaboards of Ilocos Sur and Northern Samar; western seaboard of Pangasinan – waves up to 3.5 meters high Seaboards of La Union and Eastern Samar – waves up to 3 meters high Up to moderate to rough seas (small vessels should take precautionary measures or avoid sailing, if possible) Eastern seaboards of Dinagat Islands, Siargao-Bucas Grande Islands, Surigao del Sur, and Davao Oriental; remaining eastern seaboard of Quezon; remaining seaboard of Pangasinan – waves up to 2.5 meters high Seaboard of Zambales; western seaboards of Bataan and Batangas; northern and western seaboards of Lubang Islands; southern seaboard of Davao Oriental – waves up to 2 meters high. [3] Rosal might exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Friday evening or early Saturday morning, October 24. [3] It entered PAR on Tuesday, October 20. [3] After leaving PAR, Rosal is likely to be downgraded to a severe tropical storm on Saturday. [3]
Severe Thunderstorms Strike Arizona
At 637 PM MST, a severe thunderstorm was located near White Mountain Lake Estates, or near Show Low, moving northeast at 30 mph. [1] HAZARD...Quarter size hail. [1] SOURCE...Radar indicated. [1] IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected. [1] Locations impacted include Show Low, Taylor, White Mountain Lake Estates, Shumway, Mesa Redonda, White Mountain Lake Airport, Pintail Lake, Telephone Lake and Ned Lake. [1] This includes State Route 77 between mile markers 345 and 353. [1] At 617 PM MST, a severe thunderstorm was located 6 miles south of Linden, or 7 miles southwest of Show Low, moving northeast at 30 mph. [4] HAZARD...Half dollar size hail. [4] SOURCE...Radar indicated. [4] IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected. [4] Locations impacted include Show Low, Taylor. [4]
New Mexico Thunderstorm Warning Issued
At 711 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 22 miles south of Pueblo Pintado, or 36 miles east of Crownpoint, moving northeast at 25 mph. [5] HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. [5] SOURCE...Radar indicated. [5] IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees. [5]
Ongoing Flood Warning in Florida
The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida St Johns River Near Astor affecting Lake and Volusia Counties. [2] Persistent northeast winds have caused river levels on the St Johns at Astor to rise into Moderate Flood Stage. [2] The river is forecast to climb slowly through Moderate Flood Stage through the end of this week. [2] There is potential for levels to approach Major Flood Stage next week after northeast winds increase again. [2]
What to watch next: Rosal is the Philippines’ 18th tropical cyclone for 2026, and the first for October. [3] PAGASA earlier estimated the country may have one or two tropical cyclones during the month. [3] The Philippines is currently in a transition period to the northeast monsoon or amihan, following the end of the southwest monsoon or habagat, which was announced last October 5. [3]
