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Conflict Monitor

Turkey military operations: live tracking of cross-border strikes and regional conflicts

Track active conflicts, military developments, and geopolitical escalation related to Turkey. Connect events directly to Catalyst's market impact layer.

Conflict events

33

Active conflict events related to Turkey.

Critical alerts

1

Highest-severity signals in the feed.

Hotspots

3

Regions with sustained event clustering.

Risk score

94

Current global risk score for context.

Live surface

Conflict map — Turkey

Follow active conflict markers in Turkey as they appear and drill into the most relevant military and geopolitical updates.

33 mapped events

Active conflict events — Turkey

Conflict updates ordered for fast scanning and route-through into the event detail surface.

View all events
EventTypeSeverity
🎯
Drone Attack on Iraqi Oil Refinery

A drone attack on the Lanaz oil refinery in Iraq's Kurdish region caused a fire and suspended operations, with Iran denying responsibility and noting imitations of their drones in regional attacks.

StrikeHIGH
🎯
Iranian Attacks on Oil Tankers in Gulf

Iranian forces used explosives to attack two oil tankers off the coast of Iraq, amid ongoing strikes in the Strait of Hormuz, marking the latest escalation in Middle East tensions with at least 16 ships targeted.

StrikeHIGH
🎯
Drones Downed in Erbil

Iraq's Kurdish Regional Government reported that three drones were downed in Erbil, with debris from one falling near the UAE consulate, indicating a potential security incident.

StrikeHIGH
⚔️
Iraq in US-Israel-Iran War

Iraq is experiencing attacks from both US forces and Iran-backed proxies as it becomes entangled in the broader US-Israel conflict with Iran.

WarHIGH
💥
Escalation in Aleppo, Syria

Escalation of hostilities in Aleppo and North East Syria has prompted an emergency response, indicating ongoing armed clashes with potential casualties up to February 24.

ConflictHIGH
💥
French Soldier Killed in Iraqi Kurdistan

A French soldier was killed in Iraqi Kurdistan during the ongoing Iran-Israel conflict, highlighting escalating violence in the region.

ConflictMEDIUM
🎯
Drone Strike on British Base

A drone struck a British base, with emerging details potentially creating significant agenda impact.

StrikeHIGH
💥
Iraq Caught in Iran War Attacks

Iraq is experiencing attacks from both sides in the Iran-related conflict, positioning it as a battleground in the ongoing regional tensions.

ConflictHIGH
🎯
Israeli intercepts Iranian drone in Syria

The Israeli army intercepted an Iranian drone over Quneitra province in southern Syria using missiles, as reported by Syrian media.

StrikeMEDIUM
🎯
Iran Missile Strike on Turkish NATO Base

Iran launched a missile targeting a NATO airbase in Turkey, amid reports of UAE engaging hostile drones, indicating escalating regional military tensions.

StrikeHIGH

Global Risk Index

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conflict and macro are driving the current global risk posture.

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Conflict
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Disaster
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Infrastructure
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Macro
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Market Stress
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Hotspots

Most active regions

Syria

17

Dominant signal: conflict

Iraq

10

Dominant signal: strike

Turkey

6

Dominant signal: strike

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About this tracker

Turkey's Military Operations

Turkey is one of the most militarily active NATO members, conducting ongoing cross-border operations in Syria and Iraq against Kurdish militant groups while simultaneously playing a complex diplomatic role between Russia and the West. Turkey has the second-largest military in NATO with over 355,000 active personnel and one of the most capable armed forces in the Middle East.

Turkey's primary military focus has been its campaign against the PKK (Kurdistan Workers' Party) and its Syrian affiliate, the YPG/SDF — which the US considers a key ally against ISIS. This creates an extraordinary situation where two NATO allies (Turkey and the US) support opposing forces in the same theater. Turkey has launched multiple major operations into northern Syria since 2016 and conducts regular airstrikes and ground operations against PKK positions in northern Iraq.

Track Turkish military activity on our conflict map and see regional context on our Middle East conflict tracker and Syria tracker.

Syria Operations and Northern Buffer Zone

Turkey controls a buffer zone along approximately 100 km of northern Syria through a combination of Turkish military forces and Syrian National Army (SNA) proxy forces. Three major operations — Euphrates Shield (2016), Olive Branch (2018), and Peace Spring (2019) — established Turkish control over key border towns including Jarablus, Afrin, and Ras al-Ayn.

Turkey considers the YPG/PYD (the Syrian Kurdish military and political organizations) to be extensions of the PKK terrorist organization and has repeatedly threatened further operations to clear Kurdish forces from its border. These threats have created diplomatic friction with the United States, which partnered with the YPG-led SDF to defeat ISIS and maintains a military presence in northeastern Syria.

Turkey has also been deeply involved in Syria's Idlib province, operating observation posts and backing rebel groups against Assad government forces. Turkish and Russian forces patrol overlapping areas in northern Syria under a fragile deconfliction arrangement.

NATO's Eastern Flank and Strategic Crossroads

Turkey occupies a unique strategic position as a NATO member that borders Syria, Iraq, and Iran while maintaining a working relationship with Russia. Turkey controls the Bosporus and Dardanelles straits — the only passage between the Black Sea and Mediterranean — giving it enormous leverage over Russian naval operations.

Turkey activated the Montreux Convention in 2022 to restrict warship transit through the straits during the Russia-Ukraine war, demonstrating its geostrategic significance. Turkey also hosts Incirlik Air Base, a key US/NATO facility, and is part of NATO's nuclear sharing arrangement (hosting US B61 nuclear gravity bombs).

However, Turkey's 2019 purchase of Russian S-400 missile defense systems created a major rift with NATO and led to Turkey's expulsion from the F-35 fighter jet program. This dual alignment between NATO and Russia makes Turkey one of the most consequential swing states in global geopolitics.

Kurdish Conflict and Iraq Operations

Turkey's conflict with the PKK, which has fought for Kurdish autonomy since 1984 in a war that has killed over 40,000 people, drives much of its military activity. The PKK is designated a terrorist organization by Turkey, the US, and the EU. PKK leadership operates from the Qandil Mountains in northern Iraq, and Turkey conducts regular airstrikes and maintains forward operating bases in Iraqi Kurdistan.

Operations Claw-Lightning and Claw-Lock (launched 2021-2022) established a network of Turkish military bases deep inside Iraqi territory, creating friction with the Iraqi central government and the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG). Turkey's stated goal is to establish a continuous security zone along its borders, but these operations have drawn criticism for civilian casualties and sovereignty violations.

The PKK has also carried out deadly attacks inside Turkey, including bombings targeting civilians and security forces, which Turkey cites as justification for its cross-border operations. The Kurdish political and military landscape spans four countries — Turkey, Syria, Iraq, and Iran — making it one of the most complex transnational conflicts in the world. Monitor developments on our current wars tracker.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is Turkey fighting in Syria?

Turkey conducts military operations in Syria primarily to combat Kurdish YPG/PKK forces along its border, which it considers a terrorist threat. Turkey has established a buffer zone in northern Syria through multiple military operations since 2016. Turkey also backs Syrian opposition groups against the Assad government.

Is Turkey still in NATO?

Yes, Turkey has been a NATO member since 1952 and has the alliance's second-largest military. However, Turkey's purchase of Russian S-400 missile defense systems, its military operations against US-allied Kurdish forces in Syria, and its diplomatic engagement with Russia have created significant tensions within the alliance.

What is the PKK conflict?

The PKK (Kurdistan Workers' Party) has fought for Kurdish autonomy in Turkey since 1984 in a conflict that has killed over 40,000 people. Designated as a terrorist organization by Turkey, the US, and EU, the PKK operates from bases in northern Iraq and has affiliates in Syria (YPG). Turkey conducts extensive military operations against the PKK across three countries.

How does Turkey's position affect global security?

Turkey controls the Bosporus strait (key to Russian naval access), hosts major US/NATO bases (Incirlik), borders three conflict zones (Syria, Iraq, Iran), and maintains relationships with both NATO and Russia. Its strategic position makes it pivotal to European security, Middle East stability, and energy transit routes.

What role does Turkey's defense industry play?

Turkey has developed one of the world's most successful defense industries, led by the Bayraktar TB2 combat drone — which proved highly effective in the Nagorno-Karabakh war (2020), Libya, and early stages of the Ukraine war. Turkey's defense exports exceeded $5 billion in 2023, and its drones, armored vehicles, and naval platforms are now used by over 30 countries, making Turkey an increasingly significant arms exporter.

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Last updated 3/15/2026, 12:26:02 PM